Reviews

Evaluation Methods for Forecast Accuracy of Wind Speed and Wind Power of a Wind Farm

  • JIANG Ying;LI Zhong;HOU Youhua;ZHAO Dong;
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  • 1. Public Meteorological Service Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China;2. Wind and Solar Energy Resources Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China;3. Inner Mongolia Weather Bureau, Hohhot 010051, China;4. Inner Mongolia Power (Group) Co., Ltd., Hohhot 010000, China

Received date: 2012-08-13

  Revised date: 2012-11-01

  Online published: 2012-12-18

Abstract

The accurate evaluation of the wind speed and wind power forecast for a wind farm can effectively promote the forecasting accurate levels and reduce the adverse effects of the wind power on the power network. This paper makes a comprehensive review of forecast accuracy evaluation methods of the wind speed and the wind power for wind farms, and it is shown that the forecast accuracy evaluation methods fall into four categories, the common mathematical prediction accuracy evaluation method, the forecast error percentage method relative to the wind farm rating, the grade forecast accuracy evaluation method and the method closely integrated with the wind power generation characteristics. These accuracy evaluation methods are analyzed with respect to the characteristics, the extent and the scope, related with the wind power generation characteristics.

Cite this article

JIANG Ying;LI Zhong;HOU Youhua;ZHAO Dong; . Evaluation Methods for Forecast Accuracy of Wind Speed and Wind Power of a Wind Farm[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2012 , 30(36) : 66 -71 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2012.36.011

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