水体污染治理实践表明，水环境质量要从根本上得到改善，需要从区域甚至流域尺度开展系统规划和综合治理。地表水质模型是水环境综合治理方案优化论证的核心技术手段。介绍了地表水质模型从解决水体黑臭到提高水生态质量的4个阶段发展历程，并从经济社会发展和技术驱动两方面展望了水质模型的发展前景。
Practices of water pollution control at home and abroad indicate that obvious water quality improvement depends on systematic planning and integrated water environment rehabilitation on a catchment or even watershed scale. Surface water quality modeling is the key technical approach to optimize the set of water pollution control schemes. This paper introduces the four stages of surface water quality modeling development, from emphasizing the elimination of black and odorous water to restoring aquatic ecological system. Furthermore, the prospects for the development of surface water quality modeling are discussed, from the perspective of social-economical and technical drive. In the future, the trade-off between model complexity and reliability is anticipated to be overcome, thus quality modeling will play a more effective role in the realization of high quality water environment during the shift from people survival to quality of life.
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