中国碳捕集、利用与封存技术路线图(2011版)实施情况评估分析

李小春; 张九天; 李琦; 刘桂臻; 张贤; 魏凤

doi:10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.04.013

科技导报 >

2018 , Vol. 36 >Issue 4: 85 - 95

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.04.013

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中国碳捕集、利用与封存技术路线图(2011版)实施情况评估分析

李小春 ,
张九天 ,
李琦 ,
刘桂臻 ,
张贤 ,
魏凤

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1. 中国科学院武汉岩土力学研究所, 岩土力学与工程国家重点实验室, 武汉 430071;
2. 中国21世纪议程管理中心, 北京 100038;
3. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049;
4. 中国科学院武汉文献情报中心, 武汉 430071

李小春,研究员,研究方向为岩土工程安全性监测与评价、二氧化碳地质埋存地层稳定性评价与工程设计理论,电子信箱:xcli@whrsm.ac.cn

收稿日期: 2017-02-10

修回日期: 2017-09-08

网络出版日期: 2018-03-08

基金资助

中国清洁发展机制基金赠款项目（2013085）

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Implementation status and gap analysis of China's carbon dioxide capture, utilization and geological storage technology roadmap (2011 edition)

LI Xiaochun ,
ZHANG Jiutian ,
LI Qi ,
LIU Guizhen ,
ZHANG Xian ,
WEI Feng

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1. State Key Laboratory of Geomechanics and Geotechnical Engineering;Institute of Rock and Soil Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan 430071, China;
2. The Administrative Center for China's Agenda 21, Beijing 100038, China;
3. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;
4. Wuhan Library, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan 430071, China

Received date: 2017-02-10

Revised date: 2017-09-08

Online published: 2018-03-08

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摘要

CO₂捕集、利用与封存（CCUS）是减少温室气体排放、应对全球气候变化的一个重要选项。2011年9月，科技部社会发展科技司、中国21世纪议程管理中心共同发布《中国碳捕集、利用与封存（CCUS）技术发展路线图研究》，部署CCUS技术2015、2020及2030年3个节点分阶段的发展目标，以及为实现目标的基础研究、技术研究、技术示范的优先建议。当前，路线图设定的第一个时间节点（2015年）已经过去，从文献调研与专家研讨的结果分析，中国已建成多个CCUS工业试点和示范工程，优先部署行动也得到许多成果；但从整体上看，进度滞后目标约3~5年。在此背景下，要实现2020年的阶段性目标，不仅需要解决大规模示范项目的融资问题，提高CCUS项目的经济效益，还需要解决规模化的关键技术问题。为此，建议设定新一版CCUS路线图的目标时，除了考虑主流技术发展水平和新兴技术升级换代外，还应该考虑国家相关政策对项目应用的影响。

关键词： 气候变化; 碳捕集; 利用与封存; 全流程示范项目; 国家政策

本文引用格式

李小春 , 张九天 , 李琦 , 刘桂臻 , 张贤 , 魏凤 . 中国碳捕集、利用与封存技术路线图(2011版)实施情况评估分析[J]. 科技导报, 2018 , 36(4) : 85 -95 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.04.013

Abstract

The carbon dioxide capture, utilization and geological storage (CCUS) is one of the key technologies to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in fighting against global climate change. With rapid economic development in China, the energy conservation and the GHG emission reduction are important, especially for the sustainable development of green gross domestic producst. In September 2011, "Technology Roadmap Study on Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage in China" was issued by the Department of S&T for Social Development, Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China and the Administrative Center for China's Agenda 21. This first CCUS roadmap sets some milestone objectives in 2015, 2020 and 2030, as well as some suggestions for priority technical development of fundamental researches and applied technology researches for the demonstration objectives. The first milestone (2015) has just reached. This paper reviews the latest literature and expert panel discussions, and it is shown that China has built a number of CCUS pilot and demonstration projects, and the priority deployment has also made some progress, but on the whole the current progress lags behind the target by about 2-3 years. In this context, this paper suggests that, to achieve the milestone object of 2020, it is necessary to solve the financing problem of large scale integrated projects to improve the economic efficiency of CCUS technology, and at the same time, and to solve the scale-up problems of all key technologies of CCUS technology. Finally, it is shown that when setting new targets for a coming China's CCUS roadmap (updated edition), in addition to considering the development level of mainstream technologies and emerging technologies, the impact of national policies on choices and applications of the technologies for CCUS projects should be considered.

Key words： climate change; carbon dioxide capture; utilization and storage; full-chain demonstration project; national policy

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