专题论文

农业监测预警中的科学与技术问题

  • 许世卫
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  • 中国农业科学院农业信息研究所;农业部农业信息服务技术重点实验室;中国农业科学院智能化农业预警技术与系统重点开放实验室;北京市农业监测预警工程技术研究中心, 北京 100081
许世卫,研究员,研究方向为信息分析、食物安全与农业预警,电子信箱:xushiwei@caas.cn

收稿日期: 2018-03-14

  修回日期: 2018-04-16

  网络出版日期: 2018-06-15

基金资助

国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFD0300602)

Scientific and technical issues in agricultural monitoring and early warning

  • XU Shiwei
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  • Agricultural Information Institute, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences;Key Laboratory of Agri-Informatics, Ministry of Agriculture;Key Laboratory of Digital Agricultural Early-warning Technology, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences;Beijing Engineering Research Center of Agricultural Monitoring and Early Warning, Beijing 100081, China

Received date: 2018-03-14

  Revised date: 2018-04-16

  Online published: 2018-06-15

摘要

农业监测预警是现代农业管理的高端工具,农业的高风险性决定了农业监测预警与现代农业发展相伴相行。综述了农业监测预警中的科学和技术问题,分析了农业监测预警过程中数据获取、数据分析与处理以及数据应用与服务等主要内容及其难点,提出了农业监测预警中不确定状态下的数据感知、微数据与大数据条件下的参数规律以及复杂系统中的影响力纠缠等主要科学问题,围绕农业监测预警中的标准化技术、先进数据采集技术以及智能分析系统开发等重要技术,提出了未来农业监测预警的主要发展方向。

本文引用格式

许世卫 . 农业监测预警中的科学与技术问题[J]. 科技导报, 2018 , 36(11) : 32 -44 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.11.004

Abstract

Agricultural monitoring and early warning (AMEW) is a high-end tool of modern agricultural management and the high-risk nature of agriculture determines that AMEW must be concomitant with the development of modern agriculture. Scientific and technical issues in AMEW are reviewed in this paper. Firstly, the main contents and difficulties of data acquisition, data analysis and data application and service in AMEW are analyzed and discussed emphatically. Then, major scientific questions are raised including data perception in an uncertain state, the parameter rule under micro-data and big data, influence entanglement in complex system. Finally, important technology progresses including the agricultural standardization technology, advanced data acquisition technology and intelligent analysis system development are reviewed, and the main direction of future agricultural monitoring and early warning is proposed.

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