专题论文

科技智库研究方法:进展与趋势

  • 牟笛 ,
  • 陈安 ,
  • 张晨阳
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  • 1. 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院, 北京 100190;
    2. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049;
    3. 河南理工大学应急管理学院, 焦作 454000
牟笛,博士后,研究方向为应急管理与智库,电子信箱:mudonata@hotmail.com

收稿日期: 2018-02-13

  修回日期: 2018-07-27

  网络出版日期: 2018-08-29

基金资助

中国科协高端科技创新智库青年项目(DXB-2KQN-2016-031);北京市自然科学基金项目(9182017);中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院院长青年基金项目(Y7X1151Q01);中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院国家及部门委托的有关第三方评估任务(Y600781601)

Progress, trend and methods science and technology think tanks

  • MU Di ,
  • CHEN An ,
  • ZHANG Chenyang
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  • 1. Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;
    2. University of Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100049, China;
    3. School of Emergency Management, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454000, China

Received date: 2018-02-13

  Revised date: 2018-07-27

  Online published: 2018-08-29

摘要

对全球科技智库的学科领域、理论体系、具体方法以及实践成果进行了调研与分析。调研结果显示,经济管理、政治法律、安全社会、能源环境等学科领域是科技智库研究方法关系网的核心,交通建筑、天文地学、生物医药、材料化学、数学物理、信息通信等学科领域处于辅助地位。科技智库的研究理论经由科技规划、科技评估、科技路线图的实践,逐渐向DⅡS研究体系发展。科技智库研究的具体方法可分为数据收集方法、信息整合方法、综合研判方法、方案构建方法4类,具有多主体、多对象、多介质、多因子、多组合、多渠道、多层次、多维度、多阶段、多角色等特征。随着科学技术在公共服务和决策咨询中的应用,科技智库的研究方法以可视化平台、跟踪调查平台、综合检索平台为依托,将进一步深化、拓展、完善。

本文引用格式

牟笛 , 陈安 , 张晨阳 . 科技智库研究方法:进展与趋势[J]. 科技导报, 2018 , 36(16) : 62 -69 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2018.16.007

Abstract

This paper reviews the subjects, the theories, the methods and the practice of science and technology think tanks in the world. It is shown that the economy, the management, the politics, the law, the security, the society, the energy and the environment are in the center of the methods. The transportation, the architecture, the astronomy, the geology, the biology, the medicine, the materials science, the chemistry, the mathematics, the physics, the information and the communication all have their special parts. The theory of the science and technology think tanks is gradually developed into the DⅡS (Data, Information, Intelligence and Solution) from science and technology planning, evaluation and roadmap. The methods are proposed for data, information, intelligence and solution, and each method has different attributes. Based on the visual platform, the tracking platform and the retrieval platform, with the application of science and technology in the public service and consultation, the methods of science and technology think tanks will be further developed, expanded and improved.

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