联合国《2015—2030年仙台减轻灾害风险框架》明确指出,减轻灾害风险是全世界的当务之急,但是在区域和地方尺度上落实国际层面的努力与共识,仍然有很多工作要做。因此,需要针对区域灾害与社会经济特征,提出有针对性的灾害风险管理模式。综合考虑“一带一路”区域的自然灾害特征性、孕灾承灾环境多样性、经济社会发展水平差异性等现状,提出了“一带一路”区域自然灾害风险协同管理模式。它是一种多层次、多元主体协同、覆盖灾害风险管理全周期,以域内国家政府为主导,通过政府高层制定框架协议引导,吸引多元主体参与的灾害风险协同管理的模式。协同的内涵体现在:管理主体的协同、上下管理层级的协同、利益相关方的协同、灾害风险管理各环节的协同等方面,即纵向协同、横向协同和链式协同,达成最大共识,汇聚各方资源,提高“一带一路”区域抵抗自然灾害风险的能力,助力区域可持续发展。
The UN Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction says that the disaster risk reduction is imperative for all mankind. The consensus and the efforts with respects to the disaster risk reduction at the international level are expected in regional and local levels; and it is necessary to explore the disaster risk pattern and its regional and local features. This paper analyzes a coordinative regional disaster risk management model in the physical and social contexts of the Belt and Road regions. This model coordinates stakeholders and tasked the stakeholder at multiple levels with different responsibilities, from a national framework to a regional and local government action plan. In addition, different phases of a disaster event are covered by the risk management pattern to enhance the resilience to disaster risks of all stakeholders in the regions for the regional sustainable development.
[1] 崔鹏, 胡凯衡, 陈华勇, 等. 丝绸之路经济带自然灾害与重大工程风险[J]. 科学通报, 2018, 63(11):989-997.
[2] 崔鹏, 邹强, 陈曦, 等."一带一路" 自然灾害风险与综合减灾[J]. 中国科学院院刊, 2018(33):38-43.
[3] 崔鹏, 苏凤环. 国产高分辨率卫星在"一带一路" 自然灾害风险管理中的应用[J]. 卫星应用, 2016(10):8-11.
[4] Lei Y, Cui P, Regmi A D, et al. An international program on Silk Road Disaster Risk Reduction-a Belt and Road initiative (2016-2020)[J]. Journal of Mountain Science, 2018, 15(7):1383-1396.
[5] 杨思全. 聚焦业务协同着力打造全国减灾科技支撑能力[J]. 中国减灾, 2016(21):12-15.
[6] Report of the open-ended intergovernmental expert working group on indicators and terminology relating to disaster risk reduction[R]. Geneva:United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction, 2016.
[7] UN-SPIDER Knowledge Portal. Disaster management cycle[EB/OL].[2019-06-10]. http://www.un-spider.org/glossary/disaster-management-cycle.
[8] Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015[R]. Geneva:United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction, 2005.
[9] Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction[R]. Geneva:United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction, 2015.
[10] The national flood emergency framework for England[R]. London:Department for Environment Food & Rutal Affairs, 2014
[11] 陈厦. 尼泊尔防灾减灾救灾法制体制机制建设概况[J]. 中国减灾, 2016(21):51-53.
[12] Dixit M A M. The Community based program of NSET for earthquake disaster mitigation[C]. The International Conference on Total Disaster Risk Management, 2003(2):4.
[13] EU water framework directive[R]. Brussels:European Union, 2000.
[14] Directive 2007/60/Ec of the European Parliament and of the council of 23 October 2007 on the assessment and management of flood risks[R]. Brussels:European Union, 2007.
[15] 刘卫东, Michael D, 高菠阳."一带一路" 倡议的理论建构——从新自由主义全球化到包容性全球化[J]. 地理科学进展, 2017, 36(11):1321-1331.
[16] 裴艳茜, 邱海军, 胡胜, 等."一带一路" 地区滑坡灾害风险评估[J].干旱区地理, 2018, 41(6):1225-1240.
[17] 郭华东. 让科技创新护航"一带一路"[J]. 科技传播, 2018, 10(18):3.
[18] 刘洁, 陈明美, 陈方. 参与领域全球治理空间认知"一带一路"[J]. 科学新闻, 2016(6):43-45.
[19] Zhang Z T, Li N, Xu H, et al. Analysis of the economic ripple effect of the United States on the world due to future climate change[J]. Earth's Future, 2018(6):828-840.
[20] General assembly, transforming our world:The 2030 agenda for sustainable development[R]. New York:United Nations, 2015.