中国稀土铈元素的利用潜力&mdash;&mdash;基于动态物质流方法

张旭; 张君华; 汪鹏; 王鹤鸣; 王路; 岳强; 杜涛; 陈伟强

doi:10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2022.21.005

科技导报 >

2022 , Vol. 40 >Issue 21: 44 - 54

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2022.21.005

专题：初级矿产品供应安全战略

中国稀土铈元素的利用潜力——基于动态物质流方法

张旭 ,
张君华 ,
汪鹏 ,
王鹤鸣 ,
王路 ,
岳强 ,
杜涛 ,
陈伟强

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1. 东北大学国家环境保护生态工业重点实验室, 沈阳 110819;
2. 中国科学院城市环境研究所, 中国科学院城市环境与健康重点实验室, 厦门 361021;
3. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049;
4. 中国科学院赣江创新研究院, 赣州 341000

张旭，硕士研究生，研究方向为物质流分析，电子信箱： ie.zhangxu@hotmail.com

收稿日期: 2022-06-03

修回日期: 2022-08-21

网络出版日期: 2022-11-30

基金资助

国家自然科学基金项目（52070034，41871204，71961147003，71904182）；福建省科技计划对外合作项目（2020I0039）

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Development and utilization of rare earth cerium in China based on material flow analysis

ZHANG Xu ,
ZHANG Junhua ,
WANG Peng ,
WANG Heming ,
WANG Lu ,
YUE Qiang ,
DU Tao ,
CHEN Weiqiang

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1. State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Eco-Industry, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, China;
2. Key Lab of Urban Environment and Health, Institute of Urban Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xiamen 361021, China;
3. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;
4. Ganjiang Innovation Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Ganzhou 341000, China

Received date: 2022-06-03

Revised date: 2022-08-21

Online published: 2022-11-30

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摘要

为了分析铈的全产业链情况，增加铈的附加值，建立了铈动态物质流分析框架，以1990—2018年为时间边界，以中国大陆为空间边界，模拟铈在各个环节（开采、冶炼、加工、制造、使用和废物管理）的流动情况，分析铈的贸易格局。研究表明：（1）1990—2018年，中国是铈最大的供应国，29年间向全球累计供应75万t，国内累计消费量仅为39万t，对外累计出口量为22万t，过剩量为14万t；（2）铈制品的应用涉及稀土应用的所有领域，其中催化剂和冶金添加剂是2个最大的应用产品，1990—2018年累计铈用量分别为12万、10万t；（3）2010年以来中国铈出口量总体减少，且产品形式逐渐由冶炼产品向加工产品过渡。建议中国继续增加铈在现有制品中的应用量，同时加大科研投入，不断开发铈的新应用领域，保证市场的稳定性。

关键词： 稀土; 铈; 动态物质流分析; 供需关系

本文引用格式

张旭 , 张君华 , 汪鹏 , 王鹤鸣 , 王路 , 岳强 , 杜涛 , 陈伟强 . 中国稀土铈元素的利用潜力——基于动态物质流方法[J]. 科技导报, 2022 , 40(21) : 44 -54 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2022.21.005

Abstract

To understand the whole industry chain of cerium, expand its application field and increase its potential value， a dynamic material flow analysis (MFA) framework for cerium is established in this study. It takes 1990—2018 as the time boundary and the Chinese mainland as the spatial boundary. The cerium in each link is simulated and the trade pattern of cerium in China is analyzed. The results are the followings. 1) from 1990 to 2018, China was the largest supplier of cerium and the cumulative supply to the world was 750000 t; the cumulative domestic consumption was only 390000 t and the external cumulative export volume was 220000 t, there is a surptus of 140000 t. 2) the application of cerium products involved all kinds of rare earth products, of which catalysts and alloys were the two largest application sectors, and the cumulative consumption between 1990 and 2018 was 120, 000 and 96000 t, respectively. 3) since 2010 China's cerium export volume has generally decreased and the export form has gradually transitioned from smelted products to processed products, therefore, China should continue to increase investment in scientific research to develop new applications of cerium to ensure market stability continuously. The research results may provide a reference for sorting out the whole industrial chain of cerium, identifying the contradiction between supply and demand, and expanding the application field.

Key words： rare earth; cerium; dynamic material flow analysis; supply and demand

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