通过分析雄安新区资源与环境的禀赋特征,结合雄安新区的发展规划定位,以资源、环境、生态(绿色生态)与社会经济系统为一级指标,遵循科学性、系统性、动态性、体现人地关系协调性及可持续发展的主要原则,选择土地资源、水资源、矿产资源、水环境、大气环境、地质环境、绿色治理、绿色生产、绿色生活、经济与社会为二级要素性指标及若干个三级基础性指标,在运用SPSS的相关性分析消除信息重复评价指标进行初步筛选的基础上,基于主成分分析法提炼雄安新区资源环境承载力的主要影响因子,进一步优化选择评价指标确定最终的48个三级评价指标,构建起能够更加真实、准确地反映雄安新区资源、环境、生态与社会经济系统之间协调发展程度的资源环境承载力评价指标体系,有助于揭示雄安新区资源环境承载力关键要素的变化及驱动机制。
This paper analyzes the inherent characteristics of resources and environment of Xiong'an New Area, in the context of the development planning and positioning of Xiong'an New Area, with the resources system, the environment system, the ecology (green ecology) system, the social and economic system in the first level, using the main principles of sciences, systems engineering, dynamics, human-land relationship coordination and sustainable development, and with the land resources, the water resources, the mineral resources, the water environment, the atmospheric environment, the geological environment, the green governance, the green production, the green life, the economy and the society in the second level and some other factors in the third level. By using the correlation analysis of the SPSS, the duplicated information in the evaluation indexes in the three levels is eliminated and the main influencing factors of resources and environment carrying capacity of Xiong'an New Area are refined through the principal component analysis method and the evaluation indexes are optimized, and the final 48 three-level evaluation indexes are determined. The evaluation index system of resources and environment carrying capacity of Xiong'an New Area constructed by the above method could more accurately reflect the coordinated development degree among resources, environment, ecology, social and economic system, to reveal the driving mechanism of the key elements of resources and environment carrying capacity in Xiong'an New Area.
[1] 中共河北省委, 河北省人民政府, 国家发展改革委. 河北雄安新区规划纲要[EB/OL].[2020-05-05]. http://www.xiongan.gov.cn/2018-04/21/c_129855813.htm, 2018-4-21.
[2] 樊杰. 资源环境承载能力评价——国家汶川地震灾后重建规划[M]. 北京:科学出版社, 2009.
[3] 王红旗. 中国重要生态功能区资源环境承载力评价指标研究[M]. 北京:科学出版社, 2017.
[4] 李丽红. 承载力评价及生态环境协同保护研究[M]. 石家庄:河北大学出版社, 2017.
[5] 史宝娟. 资源、环境、人口增长与城市综合承载力[M]. 北京:冶金工业出版社, 2014.
[6] 谈迎新, 於忠祥. 基于DSR模型的淮河流域生态安全评价研究[J]. 安徽农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2012, 21(5):35-39.
[7] Wackernagel M, Onisto L, Bello P, et al. National natural capital accounting with the ecological footprint concept[J]. Ecological Economics, 1999, 29(3):375-390.
[8] 杨俊, 李雪铭, 李永化. 基于DPSIRM模型的社区人居环境安全空间分异——以大连市为例[J]. 地理研究, 2012, 31(1):135-142.
[9] 郭倩, 汪嘉杨, 张碧. 基于DPSIRM框架的区域水资源承载力综合评价[J]. 自然资源学报, 2017, 32(3):484-493.
[10] Millington R, Gifford R. Energy and how we live[M]. Australian UNESCO Seminar:Committee to Man and Biosphere, 1973:12-15.
[11] 叶京京. 中国西部地区资源环境承载力研究[D]. 成都:四川大学, 2007:12-15.
[12] 董文, 张新, 池天河. 我国省级主体功能区划的资源环境承载力指标体系与评价方法[J]. 地理信息科学学报, 2011, 13(2):177-183.
[13] Tehrani N A, Makhdoum M F. Implementing a spatial model of Urban Carrying Capacity Load Number (UCCLN) to monitor the environmental loads of urban ecosystems. Case study:Tehran metropolis[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2013, 32:197-211.
[14] 毕明. 京津冀城市群资源环境承载力评价研究[D]. 北京:中国地质大学, 2011.
[15] 经卓玮. 安徽省资源环境承载力评价体系研究——以合肥市为例[D]. 合肥:安徽农业大学, 2015.
[16] Dorini F A, Cecconello M S, Dorini L B. On the logistic equation subject to uncertainties in the environmental carrying capacity and initial population density[J]. Communications in Nonlinear Science & Numerical Simulation, 2016(33):160-173.
[17] Sharomi O, Torre D L, Malik T. A multiple criteria economic growth model with environmental quality and logistic population behaviour with variable carrying capacity[J]. Information Systems and Operational Research, 2019(3):379-393.
[18] Saveriades A. Establishing the social tourism carrying capacity for the tourist resorts of the east coast of The Republic of Cyprus[J]. Tourism Management, 2000, 21(2):147-156.
[19] Graymore M L M, Sipe N G, Rickson R E. Sustaining human carrying capacity:A tool for regional sustainability assessment Ecological Economic[J]. Ecological Economics, 2010, 69(3):459-468.
[20] Swiąder M. The implementation of the concept of environmental carrying capacity into spatial management of cities[J]. Management of Environmental Quality, 2018(6):1059-1074.
[21] 柴国平, 徐明德, 王帆, 等. 资源与环境承载力综合评价模型研究[J]. 地理信息科学, 2014, 16(3):257-263
[22] 王奎峰. 山东半岛资源环境承载力综合评价与区划[D]. 北京:中国矿业大学, 2015
[23] 茶增芬. 基于全局主成分分析的罗平县资源环境承载力动态评价研究[D]. 昆明:云南大学, 2016.
[24] 焦露, 杨睿, 郭琳. 国家级新区资源环境承载力评估研究——以贵安新区为例[J]. 四川理工学院学报(社会科学版), 2017, 32(5):87-100.
[25] Sawunyama T, Senzanje A, Mhizha A. Estimation of small reservoir storage capacities in Limpopo River Basin using geographical information system (GIS) and remotely sensed surface areas:Case of Mzingwane catchment[J]. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 2006, 31(15):935-943.
[26] Leidel M, Niemann S, Hagemann N. Capacity development as a key factor for integrated water resources management (IWRM):Improving water management in the Western Bug River Basin[J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2012, 65(5):1415-1426.
[27] Widodo B, Lupyanto R, Sulistiono B, et al. Analysis of environment carrying capacity for the development of sustainable settlement in Yogyakarta Urban Area[J]. Procedia environmental science, 2015, 28:519-527.
[28] 陈万象. 后重建时期灾区资源环境承载力评价研究[D]. 成都:成都理工大学, 2013.
[29] Coleman W. The opportunity of limits:Global footprint network[D]. Commonwealth of Pennsylvania:Carnegie Mellon University, 2009.
[30] Lane M. The carrying capacity imperative:Assessing regional carrying capacity methodologies for sustainable land-use planning[J]. Land Use Policy, 2010, 27:1038-1045.
[31] 樊杰. 国家玉树地震灾后重建规划:资源环境承载能力评价[M]. 北京:科学出版社, 2010.
[32] 王红旗, 田雅楠, 孙静雯, 等. 基于集对分析的内蒙古自治区资源环境承载力评价研究[J]. 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2013, 49(2):292-296.
[33] 曾浩, 邱烨, 李小帆. 基于动态因子法和ESDA的资源环境承载力时空差异研究——以武汉城市圈为例[J]. 宁夏大学学报(人文社会科学版), 2015, 37(1):153-161.
[34] 付云鹏, 马树才. 中国区域资源环境承载力的时空特征研究[J]. 经济问题探索, 2015, 9:96-103.
[35] 张翊, 李银富, 茶增芬. 云南山区县域资源环境承载力评价研究——以陇川县为例[J]. 云南地理环境研究, 2019, 28(2):29-34.
[36] 河北省统计局. 河北经济年鉴-2019[M]. 北京:中国统计出版社, 2020.
[37] 保定市统计局. 保定经济统计年鉴-2019[M]. 北京:中国统计出版社, 2020.
[38] 康振海. 河北经济发展报告(2018-2019)[M]. 北京:社会科学文献出版社, 2019.
[39] 马海龙. 宁夏资源环境承载力研究[M]. 北京:科学出版社, 2017.
[40] 刘蕾. 区域资源环境承载力评价与国土规划开发战略选择研究——以皖江城市带为例[M]. 北京:人民出版社, 2013.