[1] IPCC. Climate change 2013:The physical science base. Contribution of Working Group I to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change[M]. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2013.
[2] 《第三次气候变化国家评估报告》 编委会. 第三次气候变化国家评估报告[M]. 北京:科学出版社, 2015. 《The Third National Assessment Report on Climate Change》 Editorial Committee. The third national assessment report on climate change[M]. Beijing:Sciences Press, 2015:56-70.
[3] 刘燕华, 钱凤魁, 王文涛, 等. 应对气候变化的适应技术框架研究[J]. 中国人口资源与环境, 2013, 23(5):1-6. Liu Yanhua, Qian Fengkui, Wang Wentao, et al. Research of adaptive technology framework of addressing climate change[J]. China Population, Resource and Environment, 2013, 23(5):1-6.
[4] 潘志华, 郑大玮. 适应气候变化的内涵、机制与理论研究框架初探[J]. 中国农业资源与区划, 2013, 34(6):12-17. Pan Zhihua, Zheng Dawei. Preliminary study on the connotation, mechanism and theoretical research framework of climate change adaptation[J]. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2013, 34(6):12-17.
[5] 潘家华, 郑艳. 适应气候变化的分析框架及政策涵义[J]. 中国人口资源与环境, 2010, 20(10):1-5. Pan Jiahua, Zheng Yan. Analytical framework and policy implications on adapting to climate change[J]. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2010, 20(10):1-5.
[6] 李阔, 许吟隆. 适应气候变化技术识别标准研究[J]. 科技导报, 2015, 33(16):95-101. Li Kuo, Xu Yinlong. Study on criteria of identification of adaptation to climate change[J]. Science and Technology Review, 2015, 33(16):95-101.
[7] 韩荣青, 潘韬, 刘玉洁, 等. 华北平原农业适应气候变化技术集成创新体系[J]. 地理科学进展, 2012, 31(11):1537-1545. Han Rongqing, Pan Tao, Liu Yujie, et al. Integrated innovation systems for climate change adaptation technologies in North China plain[J]. Progress in Geography, 2012, 31(11):1537-1545.
[8] 李阔, 何霄嘉, 许吟隆, 等. 中国适应气候变化技术分类研究[J]. 中国人口资源与环境, 2016, 26(2):123-131. Li Kuo, He Xiaojia, Xu Yinlong, et al. Study on classification of adaptation technologies to climate change in China[J]. China Population, Resource and Environment, 2016, 26(2):123-131.
[9] 贺伟, 布仁仓, 熊在平, 等. 1961-2005年东北地区气温和降水变化趋势[J]. 生态学报, 2013, 33(2):519-531. He Wei, Bu Rencang, Xiong Zaiping, et al. Characteristics of temperature and precipitation in Northeastern China from 1961 to 2005[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2013, 33(2):519-531.
[10] 姚晨雨, 黄乾. 东北地区冬季气温变化特征研究[J]. 中国农学通报, 2016, 32(8):154-158. Yao Chenyu, Huang Qian. Winter air temperature change features in northeast china[J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2016, 32(8):154-158.
[11] 贾蕾, 曾彪, 杨太保, 等. 近半个世纪以来中国季风区气温与降水变化及其时空差异[J]. 兰州大学学报(自然科学版), 2015, 51(2):186-192. Jia Lei, Zeng Biao, Yang Taibao, et al. Temperature and pre-cipitation changes in the chinese monsoon region during the recent half century and the spatio-temporal differences[J]. Journal of Lanzhou University (Natural Sciences), 2015, 51(2):186-192.
[12] 《东北区域气候变化评估报告》 编写委员会. 东北区域气候变化评估报告[M]. 北京:气象出版社, 2013《Assessment Report on Climate Change in Northeast China》 Editorial Committee. Assessment Report on Climate Change in Northeast China[M]. Beijing:Meteorology Press, 2013
[13] 吴佳, 周波涛, 徐影. 中国平均降水和极端降水对气候变暖的响应:CMIP5模式模拟评估和预估[J]. 地球物理学报, 2015, 58(9):3048-3060. Wu Jia, Zhou Botao, Xu Ying. Response of precipitation and its extremes over china to warming:CMIP5 simulation and projection[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 2015, 58(9):3048-3060.
[14] 高西宁, 王耸, 郝志新, 等. 东北地区近50年降水量变化特征的分区[J]. 沈阳农业大学学报, 2015, 46(3):270-276. Gao Xining, Wang Song, Hao Zhixin, et al. Regionalization of precipitation changes in northeast region in past 50 years[J]. Journal of Shenyang Agricultural University, 2015, 46(3):270-276.
[15] 任国玉, 任玉玉, 战云健, 等. 中国大陆降水时空变异规律-Ⅱ.现代变化趋势[J]. 水科学进展, 2015, 26(4):451-465. Ren Guoyu, Ren Yuyu, Zhan Yunjian, et al. Spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation variability over mainland China:Ⅱ:Recent trends[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2015, 26(4):451-465.
[16] 孙凤华, 杨素英, 陈鹏狮. 东北地区近44年的气候暖干化趋势分析及可能影响[J]. 生态学杂志, 2005, 24(7):751-755. Sun Fenghua, Yang Suying, Chen Pengshi. Climatic warming drying trend in Northeastern China during the last 44 years and its effects[J]. Chinese Journal of Ecology, 2005, 24(7):751-755.
[17] 韩晓敏, 延军平. 气候暖干化背景下东北地区旱涝时空演变特征[J]. 水土保持通报, 2015, 35(4):314-318. Han Xiaomin, Yan Junping. Spatiotemporal evolution of drought and flood under drying-warming climate in Northeast China[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation, 2015, 35(4):314-318.
[18] 孙凤华. 东北气候变化与极端气候事件[M]. 北京:气象出版社, 2008. Sun Fenghua. Climate change and climate extreme events in Northeast China[M]. Beijing:Meteorology Press, 2008.
[19] 杨贵羽, 韩冬梅, 陈一鸣. 1950-2010年东北地区旱涝演变特征分析[J]. 中国水利, 2014, 243(5):45-48. Yang Guiyu, Han Dongmei, Chen Yiming. Studies on drought and flood transformation in Northeast China from 1950 to 2010[J]. China Water, 2014, 243(5):45-48.
[20] 王富强, 许士国. 东北区旱涝灾害特征分析及趋势预测[J]. 大连理工大学学报, 2007, 47(5):735-739. Wang Fuqiang, Xu Shiguo. Characteristics analysis and trend forecast of drought and flood in Northeast China[J]. Journal of Dalian University of Technology, 2007, 47(5):735-739.
[21] 叶敏, 钱忠华, 吴永萍. 中国旱涝时空分布特征分析[J]. 物理学报, 2013, 62(13):139203. Ye Min, Qian Zhonghua, Wu Yongping. Spatiotemporal evolution of the droughts and floods over China[J]. Acta Physica Sinica, 2013, 62(13):139203.
[22] 水利部松辽水利委员会. 东北区水旱灾害[M]. 长春:吉林人民出版社, 2003. Song-Liao Water Boards from Ministry of Water Resources. Floods and droughts in Northeast China[M], Changchun:People Press in Jilin, 2003.
[23] 韩冬梅, 杨贵羽, 严登华, 等. 近50年东北地区旱涝时空特征分析[J]. 水电能源科学, 2014, 32(6):5-8. Han Dongmei, Yang Guiyu, Yan Denghua, et al. Spatial-temporal feature analysis of drought and flood in Northeast China in recent 50 years[J]. Water Resources and Power, 2014, 32(6):5-8.
[24] 袭祝香, 马树庆, 纪玲玲. 东北地区水稻延迟型冷害时空特征及其与气候变暖的关系[J]. 地理研究, 2014, 33(7):1373-1382. Xi Zhuxiang, Ma Shuqing, Ji Lingling. Spatial-temporal characteristics of prolong-type rice chilling damage and its relationship with climate change in Northeast China[J]. Geographical Research, 2014, 33(7):1373-1382.
[25] 郝天依, 王式功, 尚可政, 等. 中国东北地区低温冷害研究进展与展望[J]. 安徽农业科学, 2010, 38(34):19626-19629. Hao Tianyi, Wang Shigong, Shang Kezheng, et al. Research progress and prospects of chilling damage in Northeast China[J]. Journal of Anhui Agriculture Science, 2010, 38(34):19626-19629.
[26] 赵俊芳, 杨晓光, 刘志娟. 气候变暖对东北三省春玉米严重低温冷害及种植布局的影响[J]. 生态学报, 2009, 29(12):6544-6551. Zhao Junfang, Yang Xiaoguang, Liu Zhijuan. Influence of climate warming on serious low temperature and cold damage and cultivation pattern of spring maize in Northeast China[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinca, 2009, 29(12):6544-6551.
[27] 陶纯苇, 姜超, 孙建新. CMIP5多模式集合对东北三省未来气候变化的预估研究[J]. 地球物理学报, 2016, 59(10):3580-3591. Tao Chunwei, Jiang Chao, Sun Jianxin. Projection of future changes in climate in Northeast China using a CMIP5 multimodel ensemble[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 2016, 59(10):3580-3591.
[28] 云雅如, 方修琦, 王丽岩, 等. 我国作物种植界线对气候变暖的适应性响应[J]. 作物杂志, 2007, 133(3):20-23. Yun Yaru, Fang Xiuqi, Wang Liyan. et al. Adaptive response of crops boundary to climate warming in China[J]. Crops, 2007, 133(3):20-23.
[29] 赵秀兰. 近50年中国东北地区气候变化对农业的影响[J]. 东北农业大学学报, 2010, 41(9):144-149 Zhao Xiulan. Influence of climate change on agriculture in Northeast China in recent 50 years[J]. Journal of Northeast Agricultural University, 2010, 41(9):144-149.
[30] 李奇峰, 张海林, 陈阜. 东北农作区粮食作物种植格局变化的特征分析[J]. 中国农业大学学报, 2008, 13(3):74-79 Li Qifeng, Zhang Hailin, Chen Fu. Changes in spatial distribution and planting structure of major crops in Northeast China[J]. Journal of China Agricultural University, 2008, 13(3):74-79.
[31] 李大林. 气候变化对黑龙江水稻生产可能带来的影响[J]. 黑龙江农业科学, 2010, 395(2):16-19. Li Dalin. The possible effect of climate change on rice production in Heilongjiang Province[J]. Heilongjiang Agricultural Sciences, 2010, 395(2):16-19.
[32] 卢洪健, 莫兴国, 孟德娟, 等. 气候变化背景下东北地区气象干旱的时空演变特征[J]. 地理科学, 2015, 35(8):1051-1059. Lu Hongjian, Mo Xingguo, Meng Dejuan, et al. Analyzing spatiotemporal patterns of meteorological drought and its responses to climate change across Northeast China[J]. Geographical Sciences, 2015, 35(8):1051-1059.
[33] 魏凤英, 张婷. 东北地区干旱强度频率分布特征及其环流背景[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2009, 18(3):1-7. Wei Fengying, Zhang Ting. Frequency distribution of drought intensity in Northeast China and relevant circulation background[J]. 2009, 18(3):1-7.
[34] 王春乙. 重大农业气象灾害研究进展[M]. 北京:气象出版社, 2007. Wang Chunyi. Advances on research of major agro meteorological disasters[M]. Beijing:Meteorology Press, 2007.
[35] 王春乙. 东北地区农作物低温冷害研究[M]. 北京:气象出版社, 2008 Wang Chunyi. Research on low temperature and cold damage of crops in Northeast China[M]. Beijing:Meteorology Press, 2008.
[36] 冯喜媛, 郭春明, 陈长胜, 等. 基于气象模型分析东北三省近50年水稻孕穗期障碍型低温冷害时空变化特征[J]. 中国农业气象, 2013, 34(4):462-467. Feng Xiyuan, Guo Chunming, Chen Changsheng, et al. Spatial-temporal variation of sterile-type chilling damages at rice booting stage in Northeast China in last 50 years based on meteorological model[J]. Chinese Journal of Agro-meteorology, 2013, 34(4):462-467.
[37] 张卫建, 陈金, 徐志宇, 等. 东北稻作系统对气候变暖的实际响应与适应[J]. 中国农业科学, 2012, 45(7):1265-1273. Zhang Weijian, Chen Jin, Xu Zhiyu, etc. Actual responses and adaptations of rice cropping system to global warming in Northeast China[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2012, 45(7):1265-1273.
[38] 高晓容, 王春乙, 张继权.气候变暖对东北玉米低温冷害分布规律的影响[J].生态学报, 2012, 32(7):2110-2118. Gao Xiaorong, Wang Chunyi, Zhang Jiquan. The Impacts of global climatic change on chilling damage distributions of maize in Northeast China[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2012, 32(7):2110-2118.
[39] 霍治国, 李茂松, 王丽, 等. 气候变暖对中国农作物病虫害的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2012, 45(10):1926-1934. Huo Zhiguo, Li Maosong, Wang Li, et al. Impacts of climate warming on crop diseases and pests in China[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2012, 45(10):1926-1934.
[40] 李祎君, 王春乙, 赵蓓, 等. 气候变化对中国农业气象灾害与病虫害的影响[J]. 农业工程学报, 2010, 26(增刊1):263-271. Li Yijun, Wang Chunyi, Zhao pei, et al. Effects of climate change on agricultural meteorological disaster and crop insects diseases[J]. Transactions of the CSAE, 2010, 26(Supp1):263-271.
[41] 顾娟. 浅谈气候变化对我国农业气象灾害及病虫害的影响[J]. 农业科技与信息, 2016(28):65-66. Gu Juan. Discussion on effects of climate change on agricultural meteorological disaster and crop insects diseases[J]. Technology and Information of Agriculture, 2016(28):65-66.
[42] 王丽, 霍治国, 张蕾, 等. 气候变化对中国农作物病害发生的影响[J]. 生态学杂志, 2012, 31(7):1673-1684. Wang Li, Huo Zhiguo, Zhang Lei, et al. Effects of climate change on the occurrence of crop diseases in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Ecology, 2012, 31(7):1673-1684.
[43] IPCC. Climate change 2007:the physical science basis[M]. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2007.
[44] Zwiers F W, Hergerl G C. Climate change:Attributing cause and effect[J]. Nature, 2008, 453(7193):296-297.
[45] 丁一汇, 王会军. 近百年中国气候变化科学问题的新认识[J]. 科学通报, 2016, 61(10):1029-1041. Ding Yihui, Wang Huijun. Newly Acquired Knowledge on the Scientific Issues Related to Climate Change over the Recent 100 Years in China[J]. Chinese Sciences Bulletin, 2016, 61(10):1029-1041.
[46] 吴绍洪, 罗勇, 王浩, 等. 中国气候变化影响与适应:态势和展望[J]. 科学通报, 2016, 61(10):1042-1054. Wu Shaohong, Luo Yong, Wang Hao, et al. Climate change iimpacts and adaptation in China:Current situation and future prospect[J]. Chinese Sciences Bulletin, 2016, 61(10):1042-1054.
