The development status of cross-border logistics, which is an important link in the operation of cross-border ecommerce, has attracted much attention. This article establishes an index system for cross-border e-commerce market size prediction by using grey correlation analysis. Then, it completes an empirical analysis by means of multiple regression and grey prediction. Finally, it predictions the cross-border e-commerce logistics market size with the forecast data of cross-border e market size. The predicted results show that the scale of cross-border e-commerce market in China will reach 10.61024 trillion yuan by 2020. According to the analysis of Vip.com and Amazon's financial report, it is determined that the market scale of cross-border e-commerce logistics in China will reach between 1 trillion and 1.6 trillion yuan by 2020.
SHI Yangyan
,
WANG Erxu
,
LI Jiajia
. Prediction of cross border e-commerce logistics market in China[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2020
, 38(5)
: 105
-112
.
DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2020.05.015
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